Market · 2 of 16 outcomes
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
4 more outcomes in this event.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 5,797 | 93.1¢ | $5.21K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 654 | 93.5¢ | $588 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 443 | 95.8¢ | $398 | — |
| 0xaf40…5662 | No | 417 | 92.5¢ | $376 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 387 | 93.0¢ | $348 | Losing−$1.02 per $100 · 104,544+ bets · updating |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 3,352 | 8.8¢ | $337 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 154 shares each side · Show
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