Market · 2 of 16 outcomes
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 5,797 | 93.1¢ | $5.28K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 654 | 93.5¢ | $595 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 443 | 95.8¢ | $403 | — |
| 0xaf40…5662 | No | 417 | 92.5¢ | $380 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 368 | 93.0¢ | $335 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 3,352 | 8.8¢ | $300 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 313 | 89.6¢ | $285 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 271 | 93.7¢ | $246 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| Sorrymissjackson0x0cbf…4665 | Yes | 2,219 | 4.4¢ | $199 | Proven+$6.04 per $100 · 190 bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 207 | 93.0¢ | $189 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 200 | 92.3¢ | $182 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 114 | 93.5¢ | $103 | — |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | No | 100 | 96.1¢ | $91 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 100 | 95.9¢ | $91 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| 0xa2b7…efee | Yes | 714 | 7.0¢ | $64 | — |
| 0xd512…79b3 | Yes | 653 | 3.2¢ | $58 | — |
| ClearMove0xd7f1…73cd | Yes | 604 | 6.9¢ | $54 | Positive+$12.07 per $100 · 1,186 bets |
| RewardsNinja0xd5be…0e42 | No | 58 | 93.3¢ | $53 | — |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 43 | 92.7¢ | $39 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 422 | 12.1¢ | $38 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 419 | 9.2¢ | $38 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 4,762 bets |
| yannfournier0xcc8a…7d9c | No | 21 | 94.0¢ | $19 | — |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No | 20 | 94.0¢ | $18 | — |
| PAntipov0xea1d…e993 | No | 19 | 93.2¢ | $17 | — |
| lifeCreator30x526b…cdee | No | 15 | 95.7¢ | $14 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 151 | 7.8¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | No | 15 | 93.0¢ | $13 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 14 | 90.3¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 13 | 93.5¢ | $12 | — |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | No | 11 | 91.0¢ | $10 | — |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 10 | 83.0¢ | $9 | — |
| jonrbzhqbwnc0x838b…46ed | Yes | 100 | 5.9¢ | $9 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | No | 10 | 95.3¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x1411…2410 | Yes | 84 | 3.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xe38a…f2c3 | Yes | 82 | 11.1¢ | $7 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 80 | 15.1¢ | $7 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 74 | 12.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Dima790xdd5a…4d23 | Yes | 67 | 3.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 443 bets |
| ox9614b59508B11504bDA8Ac4FDFBEFc2f92d8D2170x9614…d217 | No | 6 | 87.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 61 | 6.9¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 47 | 6.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 44 | 8.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| nevermoreee0x3677…c090 | No | 3 | 94.0¢ | $3 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 7.1¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 22 | 18.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8021…6189 | No | 2 | 94.5¢ | $2 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 14 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| incognitoX0x43b4…bbfa | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6363…98b2 | No | 1 | 95.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 5 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 1 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 1 | 12.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1241…d325 | No | 0 | 93.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mst-br0xdda5…c82a | No | 0 | 93.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| maxlang0x2a21…d26a | Yes | 0 | 6.6¢ | $0 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 154 shares each side · Show
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