Market · 6 of 16 outcomes
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kjhgjfgh0x8088…161a | No | 955 | 97.3¢ | $915 | — |
| dftyfh0x29ff…3096 | No | 730 | 97.3¢ | $699 | — |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 500 | 94.5¢ | $479 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 2,412 bets |
| rthaseas0x1111…f642 | No | 325 | 97.3¢ | $311 | — |
| gvuilxfdr0x0da7…9684 | No | 310 | 97.3¢ | $297 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 127 | 97.9¢ | $122 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| hjiulftgthfd0x9b3c…6c6a | Yes | 2,320 | 2.7¢ | $97 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 100 | 94.8¢ | $96 | — |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 85 | 94.9¢ | $81 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| 0xaf40…5662 | No | 59 | 95.1¢ | $57 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 34 | 95.6¢ | $33 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| yannfournier0xcc8a…7d9c | No | 31 | 95.6¢ | $30 | — |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | No | 18 | 94.8¢ | $17 | — |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 305 | 3.4¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,062 bets |
| lifeCreator30x526b…cdee | No | 10 | 96.0¢ | $10 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 200 | 5.3¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| 0x1307…5b63 | Yes | 150 | 5.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 6 | 94.3¢ | $6 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 137 | 4.9¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 133 | 2.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| 0x2136…6234 | No | 5 | 96.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 50 | 4.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8021…6189 | No | 2 | 96.3¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.71 per $100 · 166 bets |
| balerinacapuchina0xd86d…648d | No | 2 | 95.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 220 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 2 | 96.4¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| FrozenTomato0x9d06…c4e8 | No | 2 | 97.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x1508…2e0b | No | 1 | 95.8¢ | $1 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 1 | 98.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 6 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| jonrbzhqbwnc0x838b…46ed | Yes | 3 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 95.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 1 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| keybo0xc71b…e265 | Yes | 1 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 131,061 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.