Market · 14 of 16 outcomes
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| devin.lawson.770x94d6…9ab8 | No | 10,709 | 88.8¢ | $10.4K | — |
| FATMAN0xea83…5c8f | No | 6,671 | 82.0¢ | $6.5K | Positive+$1.58 per $100 · 211 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| prophet-spaces0x2dd2…d5d8 |
| No |
| 4,285 |
| 94.1¢ |
| $4.18K |
| New83 settled bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 2,492 | 88.1¢ | $2.43K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| MirAsifAhr0x9437…e75f | No | 1,000 | 88.3¢ | $975 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 552 bets |
| BDBull0x28d1…9bdc | No | 825 | 88.5¢ | $804 | — |
| ghghhhhh0x1469…0ae9 | No | 411 | 85.0¢ | $401 | — |
| ghhgggg0x02eb…1942 | No | 385 | 85.0¢ | $375 | — |
| ggghgggg0x5f96…440d | No | 332 | 85.0¢ | $324 | — |
| Zaratustra0x7818…d185 | No | 300 | 86.0¢ | $293 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 715 bets |
| pandannn0xc9c3…995a | Yes | 6,667 | 18.0¢ | $167 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 167 | 91.8¢ | $163 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,943 bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | Yes | 6,126 | 9.1¢ | $153 | Proven+$8.03 per $100 · 528 bets |
| daniljacent10x38cf…c713 | No | 120 | 87.4¢ | $117 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 110 | 91.5¢ | $108 | — |
| 0x275c…6090 | No | 102 | 91.4¢ | $99 | — |
| polyinit-95-c1e2d00x395e…34e2 | No | 97 | 88.1¢ | $95 | — |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 2,836 | 10.4¢ | $71 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| robinhoodx0xb2dc…b433 | No | 56 | 88.7¢ | $55 | Proven+$3.45 per $100 · 260 bets |
| Fullvie0x6286…f59c | Yes | 2,053 | 10.2¢ | $51 | Proven+$5.57 per $100 · 576 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 50 | 91.0¢ | $49 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | No | 38 | 83.3¢ | $37 | — |
| EEEeee0x1e57…7a52 | No | 35 | 86.0¢ | $34 | — |
| gfdgfddd0xc8df…7140 | Yes | 1,198 | 15.0¢ | $30 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 30 | 90.0¢ | $29 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | 1,095 | 5.9¢ | $27 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 681 bets |
| Feen-8530xd071…30b6 | No | 27 | 92.0¢ | $26 | — |
| aaIrbet0xd311…0316 | Yes | 1,039 | 17.8¢ | $26 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 26 | 88.4¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| 0x7272…a67d | Yes | 1,000 | 8.0¢ | $25 | New73 settled bets |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | Yes | 850 | 9.7¢ | $21 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| Phantasm-0x2981…698f | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $20 | New55 settled bets |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No | 20 | 92.0¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 3,461 bets |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 585 | 3.5¢ | $15 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 13 | 90.7¢ | $13 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 450 | 5.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| rewrewrewrwe0x1682…26ca | Yes | 413 | 11.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.45 per $100 · 386 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 403 | 4.2¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| Scun13370x8a2e…d3ca | No | 10 | 91.0¢ | $10 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 371 | 10.9¢ | $9 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| psk6660x61af…c770 | No | 9 | 85.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x6206…cf4c | No | 7 | 88.8¢ | $7 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 250 | 6.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| Armo88880xacd0…25d6 | Yes | 226 | 13.2¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xa7f4…1e31 | No | 5 | 92.0¢ | $5 | — |
| balerinacapuchina0xd86d…648d | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 220 bets |
| 123454320xe2cd…3897 | No | 5 | 85.0¢ | $5 | — |
| nevermoreee0x3677…c090 | No | 5 | 88.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 169 | 4.3¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 160 | 10.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 155 | 10.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 151 | 4.4¢ | $4 | — |
| EpicFury0xeacf…3c55 | Yes | 150 | 7.0¢ | $4 | — |
| neviaa0x26bc…6b72 | Yes | 139 | 18.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xd291…37d1 | Yes | 115 | 13.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 3 | 87.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| AltiGabi0x0d27…6e05 | Yes | 111 | 18.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8183…22ec | Yes | 111 | 18.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 103 | 5.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| K105760x0eb9…bb3c | Yes | 102 | 5.3¢ | $3 | — |
| rgess0x2c7a…6875 | Yes | 100 | 15.6¢ | $3 | — |
| PolyJaguar0xc18b…3917 | Yes | 100 | 9.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$11.33 per $100 · 989 bets |
| fl9dqwubtwzf0xa057…f288 | No | 3 | 91.9¢ | $2 | — |
| frank06180x7741…2c46 | No | 2 | 85.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8021…6189 | No | 2 | 88.4¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.71 per $100 · 166 bets |
| Amesdy0xdd7d…0753 | Yes | 83 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe38a…f2c3 | Yes | 83 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| SenseiX0x7f70…fe56 | Yes | 80 | 14.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 74 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| buyaoshangtou10x7afb…61ea | Yes | 72 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 354 bets |
| StormRazer0xa937…4152 | No | 2 | 87.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4335…b01a | Yes | 62 | 8.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8137…34f1 | Yes | 56 | 18.0¢ | $1 | — |
| StrikerXX0xb1fa…1d22 | Yes | 55 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| sundayhd0x26f9…f183 | Yes | 50 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 50 | 4.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 45 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| HYDefire0x52ca…1c58 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6363…98b2 | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.68 per $100 · 349 bets |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 1 | 91.0¢ | $1 | — |
| jonrbzhqbwnc0x838b…46ed | Yes | 40 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ivanzolo20040x42fa…4c09 | Yes | 40 | 4.6¢ | $1 | New45 settled bets |
| 0x2a9d…4124 | No | 1 | 89.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9897…eb2a | Yes | 38 | 6.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 37 | 11.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 35 | 9.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| praxx0x5be0…b065 | Yes | 34 | 7.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa553…9e92 | Yes | 31 | 16.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 1 | 89.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbd84…1292 | Yes | 27 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 77sfds0xbed5…0483 | No | 1 | 84.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 7 | 5.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Revered0xe879…6d22 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd056…f1be | No | 0 | 73.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.36 per $100 · 1,760 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 429 shares each side · Show
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