Market · 11 of 16 outcomes
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MirAsifAhr0x9437…e75f | No | 1,026 | 90.1¢ | $995 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 552 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 692 | 97.2¢ | $671 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ghnszdefs0xda12…8b2e | No | 538 | 93.0¢ | $522 | — |
| prophet-spaces0x2dd2…d5d8 | No | 519 | 95.7¢ | $503 | New83 settled bets |
| yesesfe0xc4a6…7a30 | No | 364 | 93.0¢ | $353 | — |
| 46jdudr0xbf74…508f | No | 341 | 93.0¢ | $331 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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4 more outcomes in this event.