Market · 11 of 16 outcomes
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MirAsifAhr0x9437…e75f | No | 1,026 | 90.1¢ | $995 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 552 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 692 | 97.2¢ | $671 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ghnszdefs0xda12…8b2e | No | 538 | 93.0¢ | $522 | — |
| prophet-spaces0x2dd2…d5d8 | No | 519 | 95.7¢ | $503 | New83 settled bets |
| yesesfe0xc4a6…7a30 | No | 364 | 93.0¢ | $353 | — |
| 46jdudr0xbf74…508f | No | 341 | 93.0¢ | $331 | — |
| hserasefs0xaa4c…737e | No | 322 | 93.0¢ | $312 | — |
| devin.lawson.770x94d6…9ab8 | No | 200 | 90.0¢ | $194 | — |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 112 | 96.4¢ | $108 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 109 | 97.5¢ | $105 | — |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 95 | 94.1¢ | $92 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,741 bets |
| MiMiMi-5090x00e5…ce60 | No | 82 | 85.0¢ | $80 | — |
| Debosnys0x7e30…1e50 | No | 66 | 89.6¢ | $64 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 3,054 bets |
| dghdff0xc51b…fb56 | Yes | 1,565 | 7.0¢ | $48 | — |
| 0x8c9f…46af | No | 31 | 84.4¢ | $30 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 29 | 93.5¢ | $28 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 635 | 4.0¢ | $19 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 600 | 4.9¢ | $18 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 500 | 23.2¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| alfredon9960xc96a…702c | No | 11 | 87.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 344 | 14.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 10 | 97.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 8 | 96.3¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 250 | 2.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 170 | 5.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 4 | 96.2¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0xe38a…f2c3 | Yes | 88 | 9.1¢ | $3 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 94.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8021…6189 | No | 2 | 96.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.71 per $100 · 166 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 60 | 5.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 50 | 2.8¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 48 | 9.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1e5a…0d6b | No | 1 | 54.1¢ | $1 | — |
| snrts0xfbe5…33a4 | Yes | 37 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6363…98b2 | No | 1 | 90.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.68 per $100 · 349 bets |
| ivanzolo20040x42fa…4c09 | Yes | 34 | 2.4¢ | $1 | New68 settled bets |
| 0x1508…2e0b | No | 1 | 96.3¢ | $1 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 9.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 27 | 8.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| yueyueyn0xb87f…f7d4 | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| jksdnf0xb6bf…c1c1 | Yes | 20 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 474 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 13 | 4.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 29,386 bets |
| asdfasdfasdf340x48c5…10fc | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.13 per $100 · 10,906 bets |
| asdfasdf111120xaf53…ca3b | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdddd44120xe9cd…be3f | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| dddab110xced1…d7cd | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 3 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hiwerwe0x2e09…8456 | Yes | 2 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| LieutenantMiloMinderbinder0x66d6…50c7 | No | 0 | 89.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 470 bets |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | Yes | 1 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Ananlosing0x8ec8…0f6e | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 96.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 49ddgfd0x9070…e32c | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 0 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 0 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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