Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
Kostyantynivka Captured by Russia · 2 events · $460K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 13,169 | 89.5¢ | $12.9K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | No | 2,317 | 92.0¢ | $2.26K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No | 971 | 87.5¢ | $948 | — |
| DumbOracle0xa9ec…57d5 | No | 800 | 95.3¢ | $782 | — |
| 0xef97…ab2c | No | 721 | 97.1¢ | $704 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 720 | 91.0¢ | $703 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |