Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
Kostyantynivka Captured by Russia · 2 events · $460K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 19 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 89,499 | 47.5¢ | $75.6K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 55,146 | 54.5¢ | $46.6K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | Yes | 277,396 | 50.7¢ | $43K | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,815 bets |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | No | 45,394 | 53.9¢ | $38.4K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| MonacoLover0xb8b4…1f6e | No | 17,986 | 47.7¢ | $15.2K | Losing−$9.91 per $100 · 139 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 17,688 | 50.7¢ | $14.9K | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |