Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gladius70xc932…e6a5 | No | 2,543 | 59.0¢ | $1.54K | Proven+$6.20 per $100 · 264 bets |
| 0xb7c1…675e | No | 2,075 | 51.2¢ | $1.26K | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 160 bets |
| BurGive0x63bc…f87d | Yes | 2,941 | 48.8¢ | $1.16K | — |
| anotherpatrick0xc984…37ca | No | 1,432 | 50.0¢ | $866 | — |
| nero25890x1464…5e75 | Yes | 1,643 | 40.8¢ | $649 | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 2,380 bets |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 548 | 52.9¢ | $332 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Kostyantynivka Captured by Russia · 2 events · $460K in play