Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Kostyantynivka Captured by Russia · 2 events · $460K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gladius70xc932…e6a5 | No | 2,543 | 59.0¢ | $1.54K | Proven+$6.20 per $100 · 264 bets |
| 0xb7c1…675e | No | 2,075 | 51.2¢ | $1.26K | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 160 bets |
| BurGive0x63bc…f87d | Yes | 2,941 | 48.8¢ | $1.16K | New1 settled bet |
| anotherpatrick0xc984…37ca | No | 1,432 | 50.0¢ | $866 | — |
| nero25890x1464…5e75 | Yes | 1,653 | 40.8¢ | $653 | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 2,380 bets |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 548 | 52.9¢ | $332 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| TralaleloTralalala0x5d91…3578 | Yes | 668 | 49.8¢ | $264 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 580 | 43.6¢ | $229 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| JJJAY0x2889…fc69 | No | 359 | 59.4¢ | $217 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 421 | 35.6¢ | $166 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| Phenium0xe9f2…ddd0 | Yes | 260 | 37.5¢ | $103 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 623 bets |
| -BOB-0xb084…b64f | Yes | 166 | 48.1¢ | $66 | — |
| Diimaa0xd372…d7c3 | Yes | 152 | 44.2¢ | $60 | — |
| Andrii11220x2573…03b1 | Yes | 151 | 51.6¢ | $60 | — |
| hfv0xe102…71df | Yes | 148 | 42.0¢ | $59 | — |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | No | 50 | 59.8¢ | $30 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | No | 50 | 60.0¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 3,292 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 50 | 61.0¢ | $30 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| islandsta0x9d6c…3407 | No | 41 | 61.0¢ | $25 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 38.0¢ | $24 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 60 | 48.0¢ | $24 | — |
| needleladder0x4462…bfdf | Yes | 55 | 38.0¢ | $22 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 50 | 47.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 30 | 53.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 28 | 62.0¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 20 | 44.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 78.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | No | 20 | 78.0¢ | $12 | — |
| numberenchanter0xe193…466e | No | 20 | 78.0¢ | $12 | — |
| T222222222220xea7f…b855 | No | 20 | 78.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 26 | 48.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| Rybkaoi0xc5a3…883a | Yes | 26 | 33.0¢ | $10 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 26 | 47.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| B1zz0xcd64…3081 | No | 16 | 63.7¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 62.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,637 bets |
| Seer-U0x635d…43f8 | No | 10 | 61.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 11 | 32.0¢ | $4 | — |
| blisik0x93ed…7e69 | No | 7 | 60.0¢ | $4 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 6 | 51.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| MusakaKing0x7727…15a4 | No | 5 | 59.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x00b3…8356 | Yes | 6 | 49.1¢ | $2 | — |
| radeksaturka0xa98c…5173 | No | 2 | 62.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Valouass0x6e36…5374 | No | 2 | 62.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.67 per $100 · 1,644 bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | Yes | 2 | 34.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 34.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| hokinado0xffee…ea6b | Yes | 0 | 37.0¢ | $0 | — |
| HE110W0R1D0xa86f…022c | Yes | 0 | 41.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.