Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nero25890x1464…5e75 | Yes | 600 | 58.8¢ | $369 | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 2,380 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 644 | 34.2¢ | $248 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| TralaleloTralalala0x5d91…3578 | Yes | 392 | 67.6¢ | $241 | — |
| rontro280x0330…eb8f | No | 429 | 40.2¢ | $165 | — |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | No | 390 | 32.0¢ | $150 | Proven+$7.70 per $100 · 3,050 bets |
| fakwar0xb94a…a623 | Yes | 240 | 50.8¢ | $148 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Kostyantynivka Captured by Russia · 2 events · $458K in play