Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| taiyizh0x1e31…2c60 | No | 22,900 | 41.0¢ | $9.27K | — |
| dilaoer0xedf4…45dc | Yes | 12,800 | 59.0¢ | $7.62K | — |
| lijing-2130x0f5d…7be1 | Yes | 10,100 | 59.0¢ | $6.01K | — |
| nero25890x1464…5e75 | Yes | 600 | 58.8¢ | $357 | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 2,380 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 644 | 34.2¢ | $261 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| TralaleloTralalala0x5d91…3578 | Yes | 392 | 67.6¢ | $233 | — |
| rontro280x0330…eb8f | No | 429 | 40.2¢ | $174 | — |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | No | 390 | 32.0¢ | $158 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| fakwar0xb94a…a623 | Yes | 240 | 50.8¢ | $143 | — |
| -BOB-0xb084…b64f | Yes | 196 | 64.9¢ | $117 | — |
| B1zz0xcd64…3081 | No | 179 | 46.0¢ | $73 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 120 | 64.0¢ | $71 | — |
| JJJAY0x2889…fc69 | Yes | 117 | 61.0¢ | $70 | — |
| Andrii11220x2573…03b1 | Yes | 76 | 51.2¢ | $45 | — |
| Diimaa0xd372…d7c3 | Yes | 75 | 80.3¢ | $44 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 98 | 43.0¢ | $40 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 0xf470…cbe1 | Yes | 58 | 62.4¢ | $34 | — |
| SlavaRUKNY0x8d64…5deb | Yes | 54 | 65.0¢ | $32 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 75 | 11.0¢ | $30 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 50 | 60.0¢ | $30 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| hfv0xe102…71df | Yes | 50 | 63.0¢ | $30 | — |
| islandsta0x9d6c…3407 | No | 62 | 40.1¢ | $25 | — |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | No | 60 | 27.5¢ | $24 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 40 | 59.0¢ | $24 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 39 | 70.0¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | No | 50 | 41.0¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
| SubashChandraBose0xf01a…f231 | Yes | 30 | 56.0¢ | $18 | — |
| Zelenearn00xb04a…acfc | No | 43 | 33.0¢ | $17 | — |
| 0xf45f…dbfd | Yes | 26 | 44.0¢ | $15 | — |
| MusakaKing0x7727…15a4 | No | 37 | 54.0¢ | $15 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 30 | 41.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 55.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| numberenchanter0xe193…466e | No | 20 | 48.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 18 | 49.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| Gandoron0x4e4b…88ce | No | 14 | 35.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x7bc5…69c8 | Yes | 8 | 59.0¢ | $5 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | No | 4 | 24.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| MaxGold19170x3606…caca | Yes | 2 | 59.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 1 | 58.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 0 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 0 | 41.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Kostyantynivka Captured by Russia · 2 events · $460K in play