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Topic · Geopolitics
6 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.1% of Polymarket
Events · markets
2 · 6
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
5 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 1
in 20 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? | June 30, 2027 | 59.5¢ | down 4 points this week | $0.44M |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...? |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:09 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| No |
| 60.0¢ |
| down 8.5 points this week |
| $18.5K |
Yes minus No · across the 6 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No on December 31 | $88.5K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No on December 31 | $46.6K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | December 31 | $43.0K | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,814 bets |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | No on December 31 | $40.6K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No on December 31 | $15.7K | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| MonacoLover0xb8b4…1f6e | No on December 31 | $15.2K | Losing−$9.91 per $100 · 139 bets |
| SlenderMan0xab19…4876 | No on December 31 | $14.6K | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 533 bets |
| ethBELIVER0x05f6…25a1 | No on December 31 | $12.7K | New55 bets |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | No on December 31 | $12.4K | Proven+$2.43 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| anotherpatrick0xc984…37ca | No on December 31 | $10.7K | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.