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Topic · Geopolitics
6 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.2% of Polymarket
Events · markets
2 · 6
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
5 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Nov 1
in 20 days
Proven traders lean No on December 31 · 5 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 6 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No on December 31 | $88.5K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:30 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 |
| No on December 31 |
| $46.6K |
| Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | December 31 | $43.0K | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,815 bets |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | No on December 31 | $40.6K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No on December 31 | $15.6K | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| MonacoLover0xb8b4…1f6e | No on December 31 | $15.2K | Losing−$9.91 per $100 · 139 bets |
| SlenderMan0xab19…4876 | No on December 31 | $14.6K | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 533 bets |
| ethBELIVER0x05f6…25a1 | No on December 31 | $12.7K | New55 bets |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | No on December 31 | $12.4K | Proven+$2.43 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| anotherpatrick0xc984…37ca | No on December 31 | $10.8K | – |
| taiyizh0x1e31…2c60 | No on June 30, 2027 | $9.3K | – |
| viktorurolog160xcf9e…518e | No on December 31 | $9.1K | – |
| 0xb7c1…675e | No on December 31 | $8.8K | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 160 bets |
| dilaoer0xedf4…45dc | June 30, 2027 | $7.6K | – |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No on December 31 | $7.6K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
| Gladius70xc932…e6a5 | No on December 31 | $7.5K | Proven+$6.20 per $100 · 264 bets |
| lijing-2130x0f5d…7be1 | June 30, 2027 | $6.0K | – |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | No on December 31 | $5.2K | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| serferer0xdc70…cc56 | No on December 31 | $4.2K | – |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | No on December 31 | $4.1K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 914 bets |
| Azrarn0x8631…9a73 | December 31 | $3.5K | Losing−$6.27 per $100 · 248 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No on December 31 | $3.5K | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| CryptoGo0x129d…7d2d | December 31 | $3.4K | Positive+$3.41 per $100 · 177 bets |
| RewardsMafia0x3eed…cb2a | No on December 31 | $2.9K | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 237 bets |
| vakulchik0x741d…e35c | No on December 31 | $2.6K | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.