Market
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
Kostyantynivka Captured by Russia · 2 events · $460K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gladius70xc932…e6a5 | No | 4,835 | 68.3¢ | $2.97K | Proven+$6.20 per $100 · 264 bets |
| lionkinglionkinglionking0xa0b6…3961 | No | 3,486 | 28.9¢ | $2.14K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | Yes | 2,781 | 63.3¢ | $1.07K | Proven+$2.43 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| PeterEriksson0xc7e7…40b4 | Yes | 2,260 | 40.0¢ | $870 | — |
| Goat85240xf861…681f | No | 1,291 | 35.3¢ | $794 | — |
| 0xd056…f1be | No | 1,183 | 63.6¢ | $728 | Positive+$2.36 per $100 · 1,760 bets |