Market
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 47.6¢ | +14.6 pts |
| $10,000 | 76.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $100,000 | 76.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 76.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 32¢.
About $362 can be bought and $498 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 33.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 16:28 UTC.
Kostyantynivka Captured by Russia · 2 events · $460K in play