Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
Kostyantynivka Captured by Russia · 2 events · $485K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AuthenticDemigod0x7487…fc0c | No | 650 | 92.8¢ | $618 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 346 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 96 | 89.0¢ | $91 | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| nedsta0xf92a…a517 | No | 62 | 89.5¢ | $59 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 466 bets |
| islandsta0x9d6c…3407 | No | 27 | 91.0¢ | $26 | — |
| thunderquack0x07fd…ad26 | No | 15 | 92.6¢ | $14 | Proven+$5.92 per $100 · 622 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 166 | 8.9¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |