Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Kostyantynivka Captured by Russia · 2 events · $485K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AuthenticDemigod0x7487…fc0c | No | 650 | 92.8¢ | $618 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 346 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 96 | 89.0¢ | $91 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| nedsta0xf92a…a517 | No | 62 | 89.5¢ | $59 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 466 bets |
| islandsta0x9d6c…3407 | No | 27 | 91.0¢ | $26 | — |
| thunderquack0x07fd…ad26 | No | 15 | 92.6¢ | $14 | Proven+$5.92 per $100 · 622 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 166 | 8.9¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| singularity.0xc018…ead1 | No | 9 | 93.0¢ | $8 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 150 | 7.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Volodymyr-Zelensky0x306f…aa99 | Yes | 139 | 11.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$18.90 per $100 · 214 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 99 | 7.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,893 bets |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | 50 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | Yes | 50 | 7.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.76 per $100 · 4,882 bets |
| the-260-Challenge0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | 50 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 49 | 9.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.32 per $100 · 3,316 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 35 | 7.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 30 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 7.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | 10 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.