Market
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 48.3¢ | +16.8 pts |
| $10,000 | 74.6¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $100,000 | 74.6¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 74.6¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 31¢.
About $299 can be bought and $422 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 31.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 18:01 UTC.
Kostyantynivka Captured by Russia · 2 events · $460K in play