Market · 19 of 19 outcomes
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 101.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PublioCornelio0x0a33…3a4f | Yes | 341,369 | 0.9¢ | $171 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 161 | 99.2¢ | $161 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,912 bets |
| xasdasdf0xf4c8…2399 | No | 100 | 99.9¢ | $100 | — |
| Goldblad0xf7ab…e0de | No | 100 | 99.9¢ | $100 | — |
| cvsvdsfvfds0xa6da…235e | No | 94 | 99.9¢ | $94 | — |
| qerdsa0x6b1c…a55a | No | 90 | 99.9¢ | $90 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.