Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 1,220 | 90.8¢ | $1.13K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 500 | 7.1¢ | $35 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 27 | 92.3¢ | $25 | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| CryptoGerm0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | 200 | 7.8¢ | $14 | — |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 200 | 7.6¢ | $14 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 101 | 7.4¢ | $7 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| abrownfox0010x12b7…1b0b | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $7 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | No | 5 | 92.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 202606010xb36c…1077 | Yes | 51 | 7.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$4.69 per $100 · 216 bets |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 0 | 93.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | Yes | 0 | 7.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
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