Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 21:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 1,220 | 90.8¢ | $1.13K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 500 | 7.1¢ | $35 |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 27 | 92.3¢ | $25 | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| CryptoGerm0x807c…f1e3 | Yes | 200 | 7.8¢ | $14 | — |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 200 | 7.6¢ | $14 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 101 | 7.4¢ | $7 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
US 2026 midterms · 615 events · $32M in play