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Nicole Shanahan · Polyray

Markets/Politics/US 2026 midterms/California Governor Election Winner

Market · 19 of 23 outcomes

Nicole Shanahan

Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Alerts for Nicole Shanahan

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Chance of Yes
Money on this event: 23 outcomes
Room to trade: 0.1¢ between buy and sell
Ends: Nov 4; in 22 days

Overview Who's betting Activity Rules

How this fits your bets

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Checks the outcome Yes.

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:03 UTC. Not financial advice.

Proven traders lean

by money on each side

Same bet elsewhere

US 2026 midterms · 701 events · $32.7M in play

Senate in 2026 · Republican Party36.5¢ up 3 points this week
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep61.5¢ down 4 points this week
Senate in 2026 · Democratic Party63.5¢ down 2 points this week
House in 2026 · Republican Party9.5¢ up 2 points this week
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 · No Hormuz Agreement88.4¢
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · D Senate, R House0.9¢
Texas Senate Election Winner · Ken Paxton (R)35.5¢

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.

Which way the money moved this week

Oct 6 · click to see trades+$0 Yes

Oct 7 · click to see trades+$0 Yes

Oct 8 · click to see trades+$6 Yes

Oct 9 · click to see trades+$0 Yes

Oct 10 · click to see trades+$0 Yes

Oct 11 · click to see trades+$0 Yes

Oct 12 · click to see trades+$0 Yes

1 trader bet this week.

Oct 7: trades of $1K or more

No single trade reached $1K that day.