Market · 10 of 12 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,223 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 112 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 89 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 50 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | Yes | 30 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,247 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,902 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 718 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.