Market · 10 of 12 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 43.2¢ | +41.6 pts |
| $10,000 | 62.7¢ | +61.1 pts |
| $100,000 | 83.8¢ | +82.2 pts |
| $500,000 | 92.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 0¢.
About $1 can be bought and $0 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 1.6¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 11:38 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 686 events · $32.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.