Market · 8 of 12 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 38.0¢ | +34.7 pts |
| $10,000 | 75.7¢ | +72.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 93.8¢ | +90.6 pts |
| $500,000 | 95.9¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $1 can be bought and $2 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 3.3¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 14:06 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 692 events · $32.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.