Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeDidWearASuit0x05c8…2223 | No | 330 | 67.5¢ | $233 | — |
| 0xb502…30b9 | No | 103 | 96.8¢ | $73 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 208 | 28.5¢ | $61 | Losing−$2.85 per $100 · 108,352+ bets · updating |
| shiwu6666660x5350…9434 | Yes | 139 | 33.2¢ | $41 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 60 | 21.7¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No | 20 | 67.0¢ | $14 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 40 | 28.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 14 | 67.5¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 38.0¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | 30 | 26.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Blueynbingo0x52aa…42a2 | No | 13 | 80.0¢ | $9 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 10 | 67.0¢ | $7 | — |
| MaxVision0x5be9…9106 | No | 10 | 54.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$12.04 per $100 · 196 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 6 | 67.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| 0xblink0xf6d3…7e6c | No | 5 | 64.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | Yes | 4 | 41.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| Shadowmarket1210x1157…c118 | Yes | 1 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tiromi0x0dfe…e95b | No | 0 | 68.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play