Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Iran target Kuwait by October 15, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 78.3¢ | $52 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 20 | 94.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 20 | 75.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No | 20 | 96.0¢ | $17 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 128 | 12.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| bubububblebutt0xb220…5f71 | No | 5 | 72.0¢ | $4 | — |
| SixSevenCallum0x915d…9a36 | Yes | 16 | 33.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ehsanimehr6310xaf89…b61c | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 1 | 78.0¢ | $1 | — |
| UpTheStairs0x8bac…5b0e | Yes | 4 | 25.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 1 | 86.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play