Market · 2 of 20 outcomes
Will Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 120.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 100 | 79.2¢ | $80 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd0x5446…18f6 | No | 77 | 73.2¢ | $61 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 202 | 8.0¢ | $41 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 40 | 85.5¢ | $32 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,171 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 142 | 12.8¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 20 | 84.4¢ | $16 | Losing−$4.89 per $100 · 8,664 bets |