Market · 4 of 20 outcomes
Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 214 | 9.1¢ | $29 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 124,893 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 88.4¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,193 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 55 | 11.4¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 5 | 91.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | Yes | 19 | 12.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 9 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 119.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.8M in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.