Market · 10 of 20 outcomes
Will Josh Shapiro win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 98.1¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,771 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 108 | 3.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,282 bets |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 59 | 3.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.91 per $100 · 4,720 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 40 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 22 | 7.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 20 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.8M in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 124.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.