Market · 2 of 20 outcomes
Will Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd0x5446…18f6 | No | 77 | 73.2¢ | $57 | Proven+$10.89 per $100 · 903 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 202 | 8.0¢ | $53 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 72 | 79.2¢ | $53 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 142 | 12.8¢ | $37 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 40 | 85.5¢ | $29 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,177 bets |
| 74-750x7803…b7d2 | Yes | 66 | 16.9¢ | $17 | New58 settled bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 20 | 84.4¢ | $15 | Losing−$4.89 per $100 · 8,664 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 85.3¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,024 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 54 | 16.7¢ | $14 | — |
| youyou770xcea6…04c8 | Yes | 34 | 3.6¢ | $9 | — |
| kingnothingKC670xec6d…d1a9 | No | 10 | 79.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x08ef…e466 | Yes | 20 | 7.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.44 per $100 · 1,175 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 5 | 84.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| lidongyao0xb25b…a166 | Yes | 5 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | Yes | 1 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420040xcf37…993f | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 0 | 22.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.57 per $100 · 2,473 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| matbobpol0x5006…48ca | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 1,306 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| luisotavio03120xcc36…d35d | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 17.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.8M in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.