Market · 12 of 20 outcomes
Will Michelle Obama win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 18:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.8M in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,325 bets |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 120 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 65 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,093 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 40 | 5.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 30 | 5.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 20 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 123.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.