Market · 9 of 12 outcomes
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 692 events · $32.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 88 | 3.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 61 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 50 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.50 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | Yes | 20 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,247 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 15 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 56,996+ bets · updating |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 10 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 5 | 6.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 97.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,713 bets |
| lololol30xb155…2d7a | Yes | 2 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.