Market · 18 of 53 outcomes
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
41 more outcomes in this event.
These 53 outcomes add up to 91.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 8 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chp4200x6fe4…5781 | Yes | 1,000,000 | 1.8¢ | $7.5K | New0 settled bets |
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 744,429 | 1.1¢ | $5.58K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| YuliaKyiv0xd428…6368 | Yes | 580,000 | 1.4¢ | $4.35K | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 5,235 bets |
| Maui12340xa9f3…62df | Yes | 400,000 | 2.1¢ | $3K | New0 settled bets |
| redstronzo0xf195…b488 | No | 2,500 | 99.4¢ | $2.48K | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 2,365 | 94.8¢ | $2.35K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
8 accounts bet both sides equally · 20K shares each side · Show
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