Market · 18 of 53 outcomes
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 8 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chp4200x6fe4…5781 | Yes | 1,000,000 | 1.8¢ | $8K | New0 settled bets |
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 744,429 | 1.1¢ | $5.96K | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| YuliaKyiv0xd428…6368 | Yes | 580,000 | 1.4¢ | $4.64K | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 5,235 bets |
| Maui12340xa9f3…62df | Yes | 400,000 | 2.1¢ | $3.2K | New0 settled bets |
| redstronzo0xf195…b488 | No | 2,500 | 99.4¢ | $2.48K | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 2,365 | 94.8¢ | $2.35K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0x588d…0698 | Yes | 248,182 | 1.1¢ | $1.99K | — |
| Edi16880xcd62…9fe2 | No | 1,000 | 97.4¢ | $992 | — |
| lollipop0x3fcd…2107 | No | 980 | 98.9¢ | $972 | — |
| nokia-16000x513e…bf22 | No | 738 | 98.9¢ | $732 | — |
| ScarletRot0xf743…ac84 | No | 440 | 93.0¢ | $436 | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 202 bets |
| money-maker0xf6b6…fd19 | No | 411 | 98.9¢ | $408 | — |
| 0xcbb4…36c3 | Yes | 50,618 | 4.7¢ | $405 | New86 settled bets |
| Ideal0x240b…f5ef | No | 320 | 93.9¢ | $317 | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 185 bets |
| TRUTHbar0xfa2c…95f1 | No | 314 | 99.0¢ | $312 | — |
| powerWeman0xcfab…3152 | No | 253 | 98.9¢ | $251 | — |
| gfdy6r760x3fb4…0df5 | No | 252 | 99.4¢ | $249 | — |
| Evan555-5420xc5ff…9dcd | No | 211 | 99.4¢ | $210 | — |
| undertaker-fan0x0532…0b95 | No | 205 | 98.6¢ | $203 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,230 bets |
| Mark0200000xcbc3…5111 | No | 201 | 99.4¢ | $200 | — |
| ChalkGoblin0xffaf…b675 | No | 200 | 98.9¢ | $198 | — |
| LiLerNoCh0x5b7d…b922 | No | 200 | 94.6¢ | $198 | — |
| Kylekkkk-5540x8bbf…1e5c | No | 196 | 50.0¢ | $194 | — |
| onmylife0x4153…ef12 | No | 156 | 94.8¢ | $155 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 17,748 | 0.7¢ | $142 | New41 settled bets |
| Gr33d0x4b74…e8d7 | No | 134 | 98.7¢ | $133 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 4,685 bets |
| 1681240xd3a5…e07c | No | 130 | 99.1¢ | $129 | — |
| Zhaozhao0xd307…4653 | No | 110 | 98.8¢ | $109 | — |
| 0xa838…0fa4 | No | 107 | 99.3¢ | $106 | — |
| xnxjxjxjxkxidk0x88ed…43b4 | No | 100 | 95.8¢ | $99 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 11,701 | 0.8¢ | $94 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| 0xsven0x17cb…3ab8 | Yes | 10,940 | 0.7¢ | $88 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $80 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $80 | — |
| dymnik40x16bb…7cf1 | No | 67 | 96.3¢ | $67 | — |
| choosewin0xae86…6e6a | No | 65 | 99.1¢ | $65 | — |
| solx0x56b3…d8b5 | No | 62 | 98.5¢ | $62 | — |
| stride0xb523…7138 | No | 62 | 97.1¢ | $61 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,503 | 0.4¢ | $60 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| CVV4R0x2fb9…b1f9 | No | 58 | 99.0¢ | $57 | — |
| tellastory0x09df…2933 | No | 50 | 98.8¢ | $50 | — |
| f423wf0xac55…203f | No | 47 | 98.7¢ | $46 | — |
| uykjj0x47d8…1350 | No | 46 | 98.6¢ | $45 | — |
| newt0x468a…2733 | No | 43 | 97.5¢ | $43 | — |
| incline0x7963…5c7b | Yes | 4,985 | 3.2¢ | $40 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 4,938 | 0.8¢ | $40 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| allrigg0xe26d…e890 | No | 36 | 98.6¢ | $36 | — |
| uu03ok020xc35c…9ee6 | No | 35 | 99.4¢ | $35 | — |
| mantre0xfb64…5e23 | Yes | 4,195 | 1.1¢ | $34 | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 660 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 3,994 | 0.7¢ | $32 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| hustleeveryday0xd6e3…de6e | No | 31 | 98.0¢ | $31 | — |
| aspkdjfjm0xb12f…e61d | No | 30 | 98.9¢ | $30 | — |
| DrS80x03bc…530c | No | 30 | 99.0¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 1,985 bets |
| 0x4c89…d30e | No | 28 | 98.6¢ | $28 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,331 | 0.0¢ | $27 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| BeBeBeee0xa54d…2db6 | No | 26 | 98.6¢ | $25 | — |
| uumen0x01c5…5a07 | No | 26 | 98.7¢ | $25 | — |
| huanying0.00x6d57…1258 | No | 25 | 99.1¢ | $25 | — |
| KAOOP1120xb770…68f5 | No | 25 | 99.0¢ | $24 | — |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 2,599 | 1.5¢ | $21 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 2,546 | 1.2¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 2,312 | 1.4¢ | $18 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 2,288 | 0.7¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 2,222 | 0.0¢ | $18 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 22,018 bets |
| 0xcad6…78d7 | Yes | 2,045 | 4.4¢ | $16 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 1,967 | 0.6¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,880 | 1.1¢ | $15 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 1,583 | 2.7¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,484 | 0.4¢ | $12 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 1,424 | 1.1¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | Yes | 1,250 | 1.1¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 1,117 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| Nayraunghkyi0x2d85…a385 | Yes | 1,111 | 1.8¢ | $9 | — |
| GBoi0x5e8b…ba9f | Yes | 1,033 | 1.8¢ | $8 | — |
| whaaaaaaaat0x41c6…6307 | Yes | 1,001 | 2.3¢ | $8 | — |
| donkraider0xc62d…862f | Yes | 725 | 6.9¢ | $6 | — |
| neplaw0xf05e…a3c1 | Yes | 720 | 50.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x0b01…8f47 | Yes | 673 | 0.9¢ | $5 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 608 | 3.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 576 | 0.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 573 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 560 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| maino260x1f78…37b3 | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $4 | — |
| JustPracticeMan0xc23b…24f9 | Yes | 500 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.00 per $100 · 315 bets |
| pocketrockets0xf183…4932 | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $4 | — |
| dddidit0xb3eb…fa72 | Yes | 455 | 1.1¢ | $4 | — |
| Chitra-Gupta0x8e2e…93f2 | Yes | 455 | 1.1¢ | $4 | — |
8 accounts bet both sides equally · 20K shares each side · Show
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