Market · 14 of 15 outcomes
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 98 | 99.8¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| OnYesYes0xac29…36c7 | Yes | 35,642 | 0.2¢ | $53 | New45 settled bets |
| qing1230xfff8…9cd6 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.3¢ | $30 | — |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 8,686 | 0.2¢ | $13 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 6,985 | 2.2¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| 0x2999…3898 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $7 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
3 more outcomes in this event.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.