Market · 14 of 15 outcomes
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 98 | 99.8¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| OnYesYes0xac29…36c7 | Yes | 35,642 | 0.2¢ | $53 | New45 settled bets |
| qing1230xfff8…9cd6 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.3¢ | $30 | — |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 8,686 | 0.2¢ | $13 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 6,985 | 2.2¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| 0x2999…3898 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $7 | — |
| ttyoo0x0f83…643f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $7 | — |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 4,269 | 3.6¢ | $6 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| francesco15080x1e9e…71d0 | Yes | 3,750 | 0.4¢ | $6 | — |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 3,200 | 3.8¢ | $5 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| JasonX80xa7ee…2104 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $4 | — |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | Yes | 1,394 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,284 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,772 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 1,094 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$11.02 per $100 · 11,252 bets |
| Crypto-Well0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | 1,078 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$39.17 per $100 · 1,741 bets |
| 0xbd1a…5375 | Yes | 1,031 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| acal0x250c…2774 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$16.35 per $100 · 11,119 bets |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| Superbigote0x7460…31e8 | Yes | 877 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 846 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,282 bets |
| 0x9181…64ac | Yes | 792 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| smm.ls0x8312…b7f7 | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 567 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 551 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 348 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,522 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 311 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 300 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| lpgb0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | 215 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 200 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 159 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 151 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 135 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 4,481 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 125 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb032…c16c | Yes | 120 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 111 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 104 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 96 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 71 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| vonofff410x1184…a836 | Yes | 67 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 12,423 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| VonVyaak0x997e…0d8e | Yes | 20 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PollyForge0xc540…f00d | Yes | 18 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Ryanwilson0xf86f…1660 | Yes | 15 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 11 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,360 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 10 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 10 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 6 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| 0x2b23…b6b2 | Yes | 5 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 4 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | Yes | 3 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.06M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.