Market · 16 of 19 outcomes
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 308,967 | 0.1¢ | $154 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| afdsacs0x1e88…2198 | No | 93 | 99.9¢ | $93 | — |
| vafdsa0xceaa…9ffe | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $91 | — |
| cdascas0xd791…2ead | No | 89 | 99.9¢ | $89 | — |
| vavafaa0xa6ee…edea | No | 85 | 99.9¢ | $85 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 153,650 | 1.3¢ | $77 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 102.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.