Market · 16 of 19 outcomes
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 308,967 | 0.1¢ | $154 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| afdsacs0x1e88…2198 | No | 93 | 99.9¢ | $93 | — |
| vafdsa0xceaa…9ffe | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $91 | — |
| cdascas0xd791…2ead | No | 89 | 99.9¢ | $89 | — |
| vavafaa0xa6ee…edea | No | 85 | 99.9¢ | $85 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 155,350 | 1.3¢ | $78 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| kneelbeforetheking0xeb34…7268 | Yes | 111,781 | 1.3¢ | $56 | Positive+$64.56 per $100 · 592 bets |
| HOG9930xcbba…dbff | Yes | 68,999 | 0.6¢ | $34 | Positive+$5.35 per $100 · 1,760 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 62,920 | 1.1¢ | $31 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,946 bets |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 59,400 | 0.6¢ | $30 | Positive+$9.88 per $100 · 2,562 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 57,179 | 1.1¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,971 bets |
| ofgoodtsjustmoney0xd5b5…3364 | Yes | 55,000 | 0.6¢ | $28 | Positive+$10.78 per $100 · 166 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 44,582 | 1.1¢ | $22 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,195 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 38,292 | 1.1¢ | $19 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| luminae0x9f3e…1edf | No | 19 | 99.8¢ | $19 | — |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 36,728 | 0.5¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 1,063 bets |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 36,079 | 1.1¢ | $18 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 30,168 | 1.1¢ | $15 | Positive+$8.08 per $100 · 29,939+ bets · updating |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 29,179 | 1.1¢ | $15 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,444 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 27,261 | 1.2¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 26,418 | 1.1¢ | $13 | Positive+$3.68 per $100 · 14,155 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 22,517 | 1.1¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| ubergoy0x7072…69ac | Yes | 22,000 | 0.1¢ | $11 | — |
| chikipikinss0xea81…1171 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| Jacob79010x03bb…4db7 | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 18,688 | 1.1¢ | $9 | Positive+$7.27 per $100 · 29,929+ bets · updating |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 18,442 | 1.1¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| Daniel15310x59e6…5743 | No | 9 | 99.9¢ | $9 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 15,310 | 1.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$7.92 per $100 · 18,787 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 14,500 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| alex200110x4868…a1c1 | Yes | 13,773 | 1.1¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.22 per $100 · 20,529 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 12,565 | 1.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 11,632 | 0.6¢ | $6 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 11,110 | 1.2¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 887 bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 9,193 | 1.3¢ | $5 | Positive+$14.11 per $100 · 340 bets |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 7,937 | 1.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 6,381 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 5,937 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$10.52 per $100 · 10,908 bets |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | 5,572 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 5,635 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | Yes | 5,125 | 1.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| arjennnnn0x24de…83cb | Yes | 5,000 | 1.3¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| 0x8927…0479 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| CoffeeDespiser0x629c…6c01 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 2,080 bets |
| norrisfan0xe72b…b0a0 | Yes | 4,800 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| 0xecab…5694 | Yes | 4,800 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Baddie0xc1ff…25f1 | Yes | 4,050 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| elv0xf5fd…3348 | Yes | 3,835 | 1.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 3,661 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 3,240 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| GeraldGross1440x080d…8f11 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| hortikkk0xb3fe…4a24 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$25.13 per $100 · 1,281 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 2,575 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| AiBets0x2137…0677 | Yes | 2,500 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.67 per $100 · 2,524 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 2,398 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 2,393 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 2,380 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| P1kaso0x4aef…9337 | Yes | 2,331 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 3,744 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 2,239 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| 0x1746…6082 | No | 1 | 99.1¢ | $1 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 2,190 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| 0x792d…af4d | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e3c…2a42 | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 2,007 | 1.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 1,177 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1f85…7b02 | Yes | 773 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 94.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| influenz.eth0xe8dd…ec86 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 29,730+ bets · updating |
| tonnysoprano0xe3a0…f1f4 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| AIDROPP0x6f2a…9551 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.