Market · 49 of 53 outcomes
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
41 more outcomes in this event.
These 53 outcomes add up to 92.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 1,397,736 | 0.6¢ | $699 | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| dasdsad2310x1346…8320 | No | 322 | 99.3¢ | $322 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 643,845 | 0.5¢ | $322 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| szfxcv0x3f65…a201 | No | 152 | 99.2¢ | $152 | — |
| kxzPjyhK0x3998…0062 | No | 120 | 99.4¢ | $120 | — |
| iptypk0xe322…781d | No | 115 | 99.4¢ | $115 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 1.12K shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.