Market · 49 of 53 outcomes
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 1,397,736 | 0.6¢ | $699 | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| dasdsad2310x1346…8320 | No | 322 | 99.3¢ | $322 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 643,845 | 0.5¢ | $322 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| szfxcv0x3f65…a201 | No | 152 | 99.2¢ | $152 | — |
| kxzPjyhK0x3998…0062 | No | 120 | 99.4¢ | $120 | — |
| iptypk0xe322…781d | No | 115 | 99.4¢ | $115 | — |
| HWDZcHVB0x4a0b…9f61 | No | 112 | 99.5¢ | $112 | — |
| pizzaallosqualo0x801b…e036 | Yes | 216,505 | 0.4¢ | $108 | Positive+$9.96 per $100 · 180 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 143,000 | 0.4¢ | $72 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| kyzzaLon0x3844…b6bd | No | 70 | 99.4¢ | $70 | — |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 120,000 | 0.4¢ | $60 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 113,000 | 0.8¢ | $57 | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| Poyo0x3d8a…5724 | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $50 | Losing−$26.48 per $100 · 347 bets |
| Lerra0x4a01…f3a0 | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | $50 | — |
| e03e9cb00x518c…b188 | No | 29 | 99.4¢ | $29 | — |
| TortugaGorda0xea2f…a8ef | Yes | 53,816 | 0.5¢ | $27 | Proven+$29.65 per $100 · 1,150 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $25 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| Facai1070x8e59…d426 | No | 24 | 99.1¢ | $24 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 41,940 | 0.8¢ | $21 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,309 bets |
| DFP5540x0b50…0a25 | No | 18 | 99.2¢ | $18 | — |
| unther0x0b90…39c4 | No | 18 | 99.4¢ | $18 | — |
| ObadiahHugo0x257f…4c62 | No | 15 | 99.1¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x0139…b998 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x1659…a9cb | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x6c06…ad3f | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| hrxcvda0xb2d7…9920 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| nynft0x3f1f…40d5 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | New16 settled bets |
| 0xdfbf…6ca1 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xb4ae…48a5 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x2c52…690f | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| hdvdbt0x36fa…354a | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xd23d…3965 | No | 12 | 99.4¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x54b5…c95b | No | 12 | 99.4¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x07fd…231e | No | 12 | 99.4¢ | $12 | — |
| NSgoQske0x6dc2…9fba | No | 11 | 99.5¢ | $11 | — |
| aiqing-6630x7869…fd54 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| lingling0x9a50…1ae7 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x7b95…3500 | No | 10 | 99.4¢ | $10 | — |
| 28E7F20xd5e0…00dd | No | 10 | 99.4¢ | $10 | — |
| onetwo0x4342…d8e6 | No | 10 | 99.2¢ | $10 | — |
| mhknmh0xc6db…7d83 | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| zajeat0xc2b6…2849 | No | 10 | 99.2¢ | $10 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| 83d300xe85a…731d | No | 9 | 99.6¢ | $9 | — |
| hgghhf0xf13b…ce52 | No | 9 | 99.2¢ | $9 | — |
| lenoqi0x1fdd…7e17 | No | 8 | 99.6¢ | $8 | — |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 16,000 | 0.5¢ | $8 | New41 settled bets |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 15,000 | 0.4¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| 0x2d86…ee0f | No | 7 | 99.2¢ | $7 | — |
| 1E3540xc3a2…af14 | No | 7 | 99.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 99879d0x72c4…3652 | No | 7 | 99.4¢ | $7 | — |
| Ernestsui0xdbcb…604a | No | 7 | 99.1¢ | $7 | — |
| Crazytuff10x31f5…4a18 | No | 7 | 99.5¢ | $7 | — |
| DeborahHolt2760x635f…de4b | No | 7 | 99.8¢ | $7 | — |
| 5vf0x053b…9cc8 | No | 7 | 99.5¢ | $7 | — |
| Ganluu0x2ca6…a359 | No | 7 | 99.6¢ | $7 | — |
| ohhijh0xfb12…42be | No | 7 | 99.3¢ | $7 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,799 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,285 bets |
| uyoy0x7662…924f | No | 6 | 99.1¢ | $6 | — |
| 57768e26C80x4bb1…f014 | No | 6 | 99.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x355c…a184 | No | 6 | 99.4¢ | $6 | — |
| etar0x0c15…944d | Yes | 12,000 | 0.4¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| 8967X0xbb06…ef69 | Yes | 9,200 | 0.3¢ | $5 | — |
| KRAKENlite0x2566…5953 | Yes | 9,102 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 9,000 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| mintjolt820xd48e…a0a2 | Yes | 8,904 | 0.6¢ | $4 | — |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 8,174 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 7,270 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 5,603 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| 0xacb6…51d1 | Yes | 5,521 | 0.5¢ | $3 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 5,154 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 4,999 | 0.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 4,741 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| 0xe82d…eaf9 | Yes | 4,600 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 4,294 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| six-one0xa98d…dff6 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| raileth0xc67b…22d5 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| MillyFilly0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | 3,862 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 6,893 bets |
| 0x0d2e…055d | Yes | 3,800 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| SusanWarrenHR0x22db…190f | Yes | 3,500 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Proven+$4.72 per $100 · 8,310 bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,331 | 0.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.7¢ | $2 | New65 settled bets |
| 0x0ed9…40af | Yes | 3,256 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 2,943 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 2,562 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 2,413 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,106 bets |
| 0x7f92…5dd5 | Yes | 2,390 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 2,222 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 22,035 bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 2,000 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| R21llsa0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | 1,787 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 1,763 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| Qualitative0x0f86…404e | Yes | 1,500 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 57,581 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 1.12K shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.