Market · 32 of 53 outcomes
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
41 more outcomes in this event.
These 53 outcomes add up to 92.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 2,160,650 | 0.7¢ | $3.24K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| mrcrabs0x87cc…4678 | No | 1,084 | 99.4¢ | $1.08K | — |
| Monsstaa0x16b2…7301 | Yes | 372,654 | 0.7¢ | $559 | — |
| highmeme0x1498…d5dc | No | 200 | 99.3¢ | $200 | — |
| francepa0x25eb…dc9d | No | 200 | 99.3¢ | $200 | — |
| xiaoyanny0x6596…1678 | No | 155 | 99.3¢ | $155 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 873 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.