Market · 32 of 53 outcomes
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.9M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| gloriafoster0x5d18…4972 | Yes | 2,160,650 | 0.7¢ | $3.24K | Losing−$7.65 per $100 · 426 bets |
| mrcrabs0x87cc…4678 | No | 1,084 | 99.4¢ | $1.08K | — |
| Monsstaa0x16b2…7301 | Yes | 372,654 | 0.7¢ | $559 | — |
| highmeme0x1498…d5dc | No | 200 | 99.3¢ | $200 | New25 settled bets |
| francepa0x25eb…dc9d | No | 200 | 99.3¢ | $200 | New54 settled bets |
| xiaoyanny0x6596…1678 | No | 155 | 99.3¢ | $155 | — |
| iknowu0xbe49…23c8 | No | 155 | 99.3¢ | $155 | — |
| wenxx0x030d…fc20 | No | 113 | 99.3¢ | $113 | New50 settled bets |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 72,398 | 0.2¢ | $109 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| davenporteileen0x430f…fc77 | No | 106 | 99.8¢ | $106 | — |
| edmundo0x32c8…0b4b | No | 101 | 99.3¢ | $101 | New55 settled bets |
| tellastory0x09df…2933 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | New42 settled bets |
| portff0x3519…1cac | No | 100 | 99.2¢ | $100 | New24 settled bets |
| sigesige0x4eae…daf1 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| sandyscroll0xbe15…09d8 | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 60,406 | 0.3¢ | $91 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| daughertycarol0x5736…00ad | No | 89 | 99.7¢ | $89 | — |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 56,616 | 0.4¢ | $85 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| idk.0x7ef7…fba9 | Yes | 51,638 | 0.2¢ | $77 | — |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 51,021 | 0.7¢ | $77 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| beardanthony0x7d0c…b629 | No | 66 | 99.9¢ | $66 | — |
| yumonli0x0af6…e5ab | No | 65 | 99.6¢ | $65 | — |
| bbk0x73a0…907b | No | 65 | 99.3¢ | $65 | — |
| Lopent-2860x8497…5769 | No | 60 | 99.3¢ | $60 | — |
| joe580xbb66…6598 | No | 60 | 99.8¢ | $60 | — |
| rtegertgdsfg0xe588…f6fb | No | 60 | 98.9¢ | $60 | — |
| richardsonsean0x012c…6891 | No | 56 | 99.9¢ | $56 | — |
| aSRDgfewrf0xf95a…1015 | No | 56 | 98.9¢ | $56 | — |
| lyonswilliam0x3ea3…1b58 | No | 55 | 99.9¢ | $55 | — |
| solana0x7855…ea21 | No | 55 | 99.4¢ | $55 | — |
| neetbets0x4526…7a45 | Yes | 36,176 | 0.1¢ | $54 | Proven+$4.13 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| mabook0xbd67…8f09 | No | 54 | 99.3¢ | $54 | — |
| cokecola0x9e34…5984 | No | 53 | 99.4¢ | $53 | — |
| cymcity0xf557…b323 | No | 52 | 99.3¢ | $52 | — |
| teresavazquez0x0d26…fe93 | No | 52 | 99.9¢ | $52 | — |
| larryfisher0xb16b…ebce | No | 51 | 99.9¢ | $51 | — |
| JamGum0x7ad3…7f6b | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $50 | — |
| ager4farefg0xc8e3…ca49 | No | 47 | 98.9¢ | $46 | — |
| rffffddd0xe483…8394 | No | 47 | 98.9¢ | $46 | — |
| 0x961c…b17c | No | 44 | 99.4¢ | $43 | — |
| zmoyer0xdab1…94a2 | No | 42 | 99.9¢ | $42 | — |
| simontony0x28ba…396a | No | 41 | 99.9¢ | $41 | — |
| jasnesu0x9002…cea2 | No | 40 | 99.5¢ | $40 | — |
| colboy0x304c…b486 | No | 40 | 98.9¢ | $40 | — |
| Purmar0xa06d…c088 | No | 40 | 99.2¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x03d2…63c5 | No | 38 | 99.0¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x2e88…24d1 | Yes | 24,000 | 0.2¢ | $36 | New17 settled bets |
| ohhhye0xbe6b…b5c9 | No | 35 | 99.4¢ | $35 | — |
| jefferysocil0x4315…daa7 | No | 33 | 99.4¢ | $33 | — |
| cobonaitis0x2389…cd22 | No | 33 | 99.4¢ | $33 | New31 settled bets |
| nomiyy0x0f7e…7edb | No | 30 | 99.4¢ | $30 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $29 | New41 settled bets |
| vatasza0xa890…08f3 | No | 28 | 99.6¢ | $28 | — |
| foundersfound0xb58a…7fa7 | No | 28 | 99.4¢ | $28 | — |
| leihou0x21b0…8807 | No | 28 | 99.4¢ | $28 | — |
| wudafafa0xd288…61d8 | No | 26 | 99.4¢ | $26 | — |
| pummmf0x7e5f…3521 | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | — |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 15,038 | 0.6¢ | $23 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| 0x0b01…8f47 | Yes | 15,000 | 0.9¢ | $23 | Losing−$17.50 per $100 · 2,056 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 13,490 | 0.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,759 | 0.8¢ | $19 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 10,676 | 0.8¢ | $16 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,285 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| DJMD0xc8e3…ed51 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.8¢ | $15 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 9,438 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| MillyFilly0x5c57…5b16 | Yes | 7,862 | 0.7¢ | $12 | Proven+$2.52 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 7,830 | 0.4¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,019 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 7,500 | 0.4¢ | $11 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| blue-musketeer0xb26d…b98d | Yes | 7,333 | 0.8¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xb8d7…6f40 | Yes | 7,000 | 0.8¢ | $11 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 6,593 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| 0x869a…bd64 | Yes | 6,250 | 0.8¢ | $9 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 5,603 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,377 bets |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 5,555 | 0.6¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 5,002 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| fuqei0x7285…c116 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.7¢ | $8 | — |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 4,999 | 0.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| iiiuhih0x8eb2…b38b | Yes | 4,000 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| Fynnsta0xc976…8d6a | Yes | 3,429 | 0.7¢ | $5 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 3,330 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| 0x908e…2291 | Yes | 3,248 | 1.2¢ | $5 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,600 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 2,291 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| 0xef9b…d5f9 | Yes | 1,948 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| R21llsa0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | 1,789 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 1,555 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| 0x196e…1b86 | Yes | 1,536 | 0.8¢ | $2 | New54 settled bets |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA93940x9e83…9394 | Yes | 1,533 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$19.12 per $100 · 4,935 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,484 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 1,443 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| 0xdfaa…05e8 | Yes | 1,333 | 0.8¢ | $2 | — |
| rocky420080x79dc…ca77 | Yes | 1,250 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 5,354 bets |
| 0x8b41…c0ab | Yes | 1,111 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x9993…c9a9 | Yes | 1,111 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 1,111 | 0.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| 7tbe9yxfrbyv0x8bbc…27b8 | Yes | 1,102 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb152…ef4c | Yes | 1,000 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| byebyekoko0x22d0…3bea | Yes | 800 | 0.7¢ | $1 | New55 settled bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 873 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.