Market · 1 of 21 outcomes
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bleed10xa27f…0ce8 | Yes | 1,088 | 24.6¢ | $702 | — |
| 0xa277…1182 | Yes | 961 | 58.6¢ | $620 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 949 |
| 48.0¢ |
| $612 |
| — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 1,323 | 70.1¢ | $470 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | Yes | 452 | 55.0¢ | $292 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 764 | 35.8¢ | $271 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 95.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.