Market · 8 of 21 outcomes
Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| xcddfdf0x2f4e…2e13 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 421 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 403 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 319 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 206 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 96.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.