Market · 8 of 21 outcomes
Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,341 bets |
| xcddfdf0x2f4e…2e13 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 421 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,944 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 403 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 124,233+ bets · updating |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 319 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | 206 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,344 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 200 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 158 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.02 per $100 · 18,907 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 125 | 3.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 60 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 57 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,440 bets |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 50 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 42 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 3 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 0 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.