Market · 9 of 21 outcomes
Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cfhxfhh0x7027…65bf | No | 23 | 99.8¢ | $23 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,106 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 453 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 421 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,772 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 354 | 1.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 321 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 104.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.