Market · 10 of 21 outcomes
Will StepFun be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,223 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 421 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,902 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 364 | 5.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 325 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 162 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 158 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.03 per $100 · 18,903 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 105.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.