Market · 10 of 21 outcomes
Will StepFun be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,500 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 421 | 3.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,980 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 364 | 5.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 325 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 162 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 158 | 2.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.01 per $100 · 18,911 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 110 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,800 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 102 | 2.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,549 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 90 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 55 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| menthe20xfab1…f0cc | Yes | 42 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 41 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,550 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | Yes | 11 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 8 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.08 per $100 · 21,166 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 5 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 3 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.